He is also knocking at the door but we get a far greater price. He finished 21st at the elevated Wells Fargo and 15th in Mexico. He has not missed a cut since the Farmers and continues to improve with each tournament. In the model I created rooted with the statistics mentioned above, Wu ranks fifth overall despite sliding way down the odds board. My favorite bet of the tournament is Dylan Wu. We only wager a minuscule 0.4 units on the young lad to win his first tournament. He is knocking on the door and a weaker field seems to be a great place for him to break through. Stevens made 3 of 4 of his last cuts with 2nd at the Valero and a 3rd in Corales. Whoever wins this event is going very low and Stevens seems primed to shoot low scores throughout the weekend. Not shockingly, he ranks 6th in BOB% over his last 36 rounds. Stevens resides in the top 20 in both GIRs and SG: Par 5. Sam Stevens leads off that group as a birdie-making machine at an event where players will need to go low. Now we arrive at my favorite two picks for this event. With our drought this season, we need to take advantage of the cheaper options. We will wager another half-unit on Riley and just like that our two highest-priced golfers only cost us one unit. While he has not been very proficient with putting, we are willing to look past that on a course that doesn’t seem to demand perfection. Riley ranks 7th in SG: Approach and sits inside the Top 20 in most of our other categories. Instead, it seems like dialing up the approach game and eating the Par 4’s alive will bode well. The top five putters last year didn’t make any noise. We mentioned in our preview that putting is not all that important during the brief history at this course for the Byron Nelson. That said, Riley must surely want a victory all to himself, and TPC Craig Ranch profiles as a nice spot. Costing us a pittance, Riley should still be beaming with confidence after his first tour win at the Zurich Classic. Speaking of cost-effectiveness, our second golfer this week is Davis Riley. I can’t imagine he will gain too much traction with people falling all over themselves to click K.H. This feels like the top spot for him to finally break through.Įxtremely cost-effective, we open our card with a 1/2 unit on Jaegar and place him in prime consideration for an OAD selection. He has been in very strong form as of late in better fields. He is second in GIR and top-twenty in both P4: 450-500 and Proximity 200+ yards. Stephan Jaegar checks plenty of the boxes for this event. That said, with the field being particularly weak for this event, I won’t be shocked to see a first-time winner. Will I be surprised if Scottie Scheffler laps the field or K.H. With the PGA Championship next weekend, I want to keep my exposure limited this week in hopes of getting back some bankroll prior to the large event. This week, we will start with one of our golfers to watch from our betting preview as we endeavor to build a very, very cheap card.
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